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书山有路勤为径 , 译海无涯精作舟

钟灵翻译,译贯中西

 

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根据西方经济学的教条,货币升值可以抑制出口、增加进口,从而可以抑制通货膨胀。但是,这个教条在今天的中国已经不适用,相反,人民币升值不仅不会抑制通货膨胀,反而成为推动通货膨胀的元凶。这是因为中国已经不是一个封闭的经济体,而是一个过度开放的经济体。中国当前的通货膨胀是发生在人民币持续升值之后,而不是发生在人民币升值之前。事实胜于雄辩。中国经济的现实可以推翻所有的经济学教条。西方经济学的教条只有在中国经济没有过度开放、或者美国没有制造美元泛滥的前提下才能成立。

 

According to the doctrine of western economics, the appreciation of currency can curb the exports and increase the imports, thus curbing the inflation. However, this doctrine is no longer applicable in China today. Instead, the appreciation of Renminbi will not curb the inflation, but will become the culprit to aggravate the inflation. That’s because China is no longer a closed economic entity, but an excessively open economic entity. The current inflation in China did not occur before the appreciation of Renminbi but occurred after the continuous appreciation of Renminbi. Facts speak louder than words. The realities of China’s economy can overturn all economic doctrines. The doctrines of western economics can be established only if China’s economy is not excessively open or the United States does not create dollar gluts.

 

人民币升值和紧缩货币政策将对中国经济产生巨大的伤害,却可以完美地配合美联储的宏观经济调控目标:继续维持弱势美元、维持低利率和低通胀、承诺提高无限流动性以便顺利度过次贷危机,同时,为未来实行强势美元政策、吸干中国的外汇储备而作准备。

 

The appreciation of Renminbi and tight monetary policy will do great harm to China’s economy, but they can perfectly match the macroeconomic regulation and control objectives of the Federal Reserve, which are to continue to maintain a weak dollar, maintain low interest rates and low inflation, commit to increase the unlimited liquidity in order to successfully overcome the subprime mortgage crisis, and at the same time, make preparations for implementing a strong dollar policy and draining China's foreign exchange reserves.

 

在人民币升值趋势保持不变的情况下,如果降低利率、增加货币供给量,那么,会导致负利率的情况加剧,国内企业和居民的存款会受到更大的损失,通货膨胀将进一步恶化。

 

Under the condition that the appreciation trend of Renminbi remains unchanged, if the interest rate is lowered and the money supply is increased, the phenomena of negative interest rate will be aggravated, the domestic enterprises and residents will suffer greater losses in the deposits, and the inflation will further get deteriorated.

 

 

文章原创来源:钟灵翻译(www.zzzltrans.com),仅供学习参考只用。

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2021年1月11日 12:55